Norden vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
FFN
3 - 3
BER
82%
12%
7%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
FFN
31%
23%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 3
FFN
14%
18%
68%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 2
FFN
56%
21%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FFN
3 - 2
MLI
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 0
DIF
49%
24%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
DIF
1 - 0
RAC
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TPE
0 - 1
DIF
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DIF
1 - 3
UNA
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
F91
0 - 2
DIF
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |