Ferrymead Bays vs Selwyn United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOM
0 - 1
FER
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
FER
1 - 4
COA
27%
22%
52%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
CHR
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SUF
0 - 5
FER
8%
14%
78%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
NOM
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SUF
1 - 4
CHR
9%
15%
77%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SUF
1 - 3
CAS
5%
13%
82%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WAF
1 - 2
SUF
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SUF
0 - 5
FER
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SUF
2 - 2
NSF
5%
11%
85%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | +2 |