Ferrymead Bays vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
COA
4 - 0
FER
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 2
FER
7%
13%
80%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FER
0 - 2
NSF
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
CAS
7%
15%
78%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CHR
4 - 1
FER
55%
20%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
NOM
3 - 2
CHR
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NOM
1 - 0
SUF
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
NOM
91%
7%
2%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
COA
2 - 0
NOM
71%
16%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NOM
6 - 0
HAL
88%
9%
4%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |