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Segunda Nueva Zelanda. Continente, Matchday 6

Ferrymead Bays vs Nelson Suburbs analysis

Ferrymead Bays Nelson Suburbs
11 ELO 13
-23% Tilt 35%
8510º General ELO ranking 7293º
120º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
29%
Ferrymead Bays
26.7%
Draw
44.3%
Nelson Suburbs

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
Ferrymead Bays
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.3%
Win probability
Nelson Suburbs
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%