Ferrymead Bays vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
6º
5º
6
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
FER
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
2 - 1
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FER
4 - 1
DUN
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 5
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
NOM
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 7
DUN
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 2
FCT
77%
13%
10%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
NOM
13%
16%
71%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
COA
2 - 0
FCT
86%
9%
4%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
GIA
10%
14%
76%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |