Ferrymead Bays vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
NSF
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
COA
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 3
FER
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 3
CHR
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
FCT
0 - 2
CHR
13%
17%
70%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FCT
4 - 1
UOC
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
FCT
0 - 4
FER
12%
16%
72%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
FCT
4 - 2
STA
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
FCT
2 - 3
NSF
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |