Ferrymead Bays vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
74.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
6º
5º
49
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SUF
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
FER
52%
21%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
NSF
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
COA
38%
22%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 0
NOM
91%
6%
3%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 2
CHR
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
5 - 2
DUN
84%
10%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
COA
0 - 4
CHR
11%
15%
74%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
GIA
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |