Ferroviário vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
CEA
16%
26%
58%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
FER
4 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
ASA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
YPI
23%
29%
49%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAC
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
BOT
18%
28%
55%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
APA
1 - 3
UNI
68%
19%
12%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
MAN
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |