Ferroviário vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
TOM
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
FER
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 1
FER
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
BOT
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 1
FER
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 1
SAN
38%
30%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PAY
2 - 0
JAC
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TOM
3 - 0
JAC
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 1
FLO
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 2
JAC
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |