Ferroviário vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FLO
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 1
FER
14%
19%
68%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
CON
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 1
CAU
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
HOR
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
HOR
27%
22%
50%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |