Ferroviário vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CAU
74%
15%
10%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
FER
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
FER
5 - 2
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 1
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 1
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
COT
0 - 2
CEA
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 3
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |