Ferroviário vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
FER
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
FER
5 - 2
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
FER
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 1
ICA
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 8
CAU
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
CAU
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 3
UNI
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 0
CRA
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |