Ferroviário vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
33%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
FER
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
ECS
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
BOT
33%
30%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
FER
17%
25%
59%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 3
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
ABC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
PAY
4 - 1
BOT
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLO
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOT
29%
32%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
BOT
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |