Ferroviário Nacala vs Ferroviario Lichinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIG
0 - 0
FEN
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 0
VIL
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BBM
3 - 2
FEN
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 3
FER
40%
31%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
IDX
0 - 1
FEN
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 0
FER
32%
29%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LIC
1 - 0
LIG
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HCB
1 - 0
LIC
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LIC
2 - 1
VIL
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
COS
2 - 1
LIC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |