Ferroviária vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FER
5 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
BAT
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 3
ITA
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
RIO
35%
27%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |