Ferroviária vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 3
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
URT
2 - 0
FER
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
BAH
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
PER
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
40%
30%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |