Ferroviária vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
MOG
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
FER
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
GUA
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 2
FER
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 2
CAP
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
RIO
80%
15%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 1
RIO
45%
23%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
XVD
44%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |