Ferroviária vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FER
0 - 1
OES
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
VOT
0 - 2
FER
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
FER
1 - 0
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FER
4 - 2
YPI
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LON
3 - 2
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ITU
3 - 2
GRE
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
1 - 1
ITU
9%
17%
75%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 1
AFC
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 4
ITU
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
AMF
3 - 2
ITU
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |