Ferroviária vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
INT
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 2
MAR
53%
27%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
MAR
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
BOT
82%
14%
4%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
OPE
41%
29%
29%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 3
CSA
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |