Ferroviária vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
35%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
FER
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
PRI
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
FER
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
TAU
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
ABC
13%
22%
65%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ABC
0 - 0
GLO
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
12%
21%
66%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 1
ABC
17%
24%
60%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ABC
0 - 2
SPO
21%
26%
54%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |