Ferro General Pico vs Sportivo Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
10º
10º
9
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 34 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 31 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 25 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 23 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 21 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 21 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 18 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 17 |
10º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
89.5% | 75% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 1
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
ATE
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
CIB
23%
27%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 0
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
CSE
35%
27%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CSE
2 - 1
ATE
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HHE
2 - 1
CSE
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CSE
0 - 2
CDA
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
CSE
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 1
ATE
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |