Ferriolense vs UE Alcudia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
SLL
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
AND
3 - 2
FER
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FER
0 - 2
POR
26%
25%
50%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MNC
2 - 1
FER
74%
17%
9%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FER
0 - 2
CON
23%
26%
52%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UE Alcudia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
JOR
3 - 0
ALC
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
CFP
22%
26%
53%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BNS
0 - 1
ALC
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 0
ESP
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
ALC
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |