Oberliga Hessen. Jor. 34

Fernwald vs Bad Vilbel analysis

Fernwald Bad Vilbel
27 ELO 20
-0.5% Tilt -6.3%
7632º General ELO ranking 31388º
307º Country ELO ranking 1383º
ELO win probability
60.3%
Fernwald
20.9%
Draw
18.7%
Bad Vilbel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
Fernwald
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.7%
Win probability
Bad Vilbel
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fernwald
-42%
+5%
Bad Vilbel

ELO progression

Fernwald
Bad Vilbel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fernwald
Fernwald
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2007
BUC
Buchonia Flieden
2 - 3
Fernwald
FER
51%
24%
26%
26 26 0 0
12 May. 2007
FER
Fernwald
4 - 1
Wörsdorf
WOR
48%
25%
27%
24 26 2 +2
04 May. 2007
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt II
1 - 2
Fernwald
FER
62%
21%
17%
24 27 3 0
28 Apr. 2007
FER
Fernwald
2 - 1
KSV Baunatal
BAU
54%
23%
23%
23 21 2 +1
21 Apr. 2007
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
2 - 3
Fernwald
FER
63%
21%
16%
23 30 7 0

Matches

Bad Vilbel
Bad Vilbel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2007
FVB
Bad Vilbel
3 - 0
FSV Braunfels
BRA
75%
16%
10%
20 14 6 0
14 May. 2007
KKA
Klein-Karben
1 - 2
Bad Vilbel
FVB
68%
20%
12%
19 30 11 +1
05 May. 2007
FVB
Bad Vilbel
0 - 3
Borussia Fulda
FUL
33%
26%
41%
21 30 9 -2
27 Apr. 2007
WUR
Würges
3 - 2
Bad Vilbel
FVB
55%
21%
24%
21 21 0 0
20 Apr. 2007
FVB
Bad Vilbel
0 - 8
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
16%
22%
62%
23 45 22 -2
X