Fernández Vial vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 2
FVC
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FVC
0 - 0
DEP
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
DSC
2 - 0
FVC
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
FVC
0 - 0
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CSD
1 - 3
FVC
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 0
DCO
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 4
UCO
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |