Fermana vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
LEG
50%
27%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
VIS
40%
28%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 1
RAV
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 0
VIS
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CES
0 - 0
FCS
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 2
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
VIR
2 - 2
FCS
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |