Fermana vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
49.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 1
FER
71%
20%
10%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
SPE
21%
28%
51%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CTT
3 - 0
FER
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
SAL
21%
27%
52%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 0
PIZ
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAD
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASS
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 1
RAV
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |