Fermana vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
IMO
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 1
FER
46%
27%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
67%
22%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
SSS
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 0
CES
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
CES
3 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 2
CES
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
CES
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CES
1 - 3
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |