Ferlach vs Kraig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ANB
3 - 2
FLC
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
VOL
1 - 0
FLC
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
FLC
1 - 1
BLE
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
FEL
1 - 1
FLC
34%
22%
43%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FLC
0 - 0
SPI
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kraig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SVK
1 - 1
LEN
12%
15%
73%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SVK
1 - 0
KAC
21%
20%
60%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
GMD
1 - 2
SVK
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ANB
4 - 2
SVK
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SVK
0 - 3
VOL
18%
20%
61%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |