Ferlach vs Feldkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 4
FLC
15%
20%
66%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
WOL
4 - 0
FLC
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
FLC
5 - 0
TRE
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
MIC
3 - 4
FLC
8%
16%
76%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FLC
2 - 2
GLO
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Feldkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 1
TRE
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 2
FEL
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 3
GLO
79%
13%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SPI
4 - 4
FEL
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
FEL
3 - 1
LEN
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |