Ferencvárosi vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
3º
1º
33
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SHR
1 - 0
FTC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FTC
4 - 0
SHR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FTC
4 - 0
FHV
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
FTC
1 - 3
QAR
60%
21%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
1 - 1
FTC
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 2
BUD
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BUD
3 - 3
PAK
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FHV
4 - 0
BUD
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
ZTE
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 2
FKA
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |