Fénix vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
5º
5º
10
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
FEN
45%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
38%
28%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 1
FEN
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 2
LUZ
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 3
FEN
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CER
1 - 2
RAC
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 1
PLA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 2
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |