Q. Europa League Playoffs. Final
Global 6-2
Fenerbahçe vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ADA
0 - 1
FEN
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 3
FEN
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
DYN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 2
SGF
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 2
ZWO
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
HJK
1 - 0
IFK
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
HJK
3 - 0
FKN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
KOO
0 - 1
HJK
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
FKN
2 - 2
HJK
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
0 - 0
SEI
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |