Fenerbahçe vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BJK
0 - 0
FEN
29%
25%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
5 - 0
ALA
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
REN
2 - 2
FEN
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 1
DYN
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
KAY
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AEK
4 - 0
ANO
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 0
AEK
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
DYN
0 - 1
AEK
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 0
NEA
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 2
REN
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |