Feirense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
FEI
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FEI
2 - 0
GON
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
FEI
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 1
FEI
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
FEI
1 - 0
OLM
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
FAT
1 - 1
RIO
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAT
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
FAT
2 - 0
TRO
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FAT
1 - 0
ACA
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
FAT
2 - 0
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +2 |