Fehring vs Mettersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
55.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
8º
2º
43
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LEB
3 - 1
FEH
60%
19%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SVF
0 - 1
FEH
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
FEH
2 - 0
JUD
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
MOK
1 - 1
FEH
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ANN
1 - 3
FEH
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mettersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
MET
4 - 1
JUD
92%
6%
2%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
MOK
0 - 0
MET
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
HGK
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
MET
8%
16%
76%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
DLB
3 - 2
MET
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |