PFK Zvyagel vs Real Pharma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
3º
19
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
95% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 43 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 39 |
8º
|
37.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 27 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
14º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
73% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
FCZ
14%
19%
67%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FCZ
0 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 7
FCZ
15%
21%
65%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
FCL
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
0 - 1
OBO
26%
22%
52%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 0
MET
43%
24%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 1
RPH
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UCS
4 - 0
RPH
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RPH
1 - 1
CHA
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 2
RPH
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |