Weesen vs Eschen/Mauren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
56.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
16º
16º
32
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
KOS
2 - 2
FCW
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 1
LIN
15%
17%
68%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCW
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCW
0 - 0
FCW
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
FCW
77%
13%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ESC
1 - 0
TUG
13%
19%
67%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
ESC
54%
20%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ESC
3 - 0
TAV
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
ESC
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 4
ESC
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |