Volov Shumen vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
41%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
11º
21
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
SHU
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
0 - 1
SVE
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
SHU
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 3
SEP
15%
24%
62%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
5 - 0
SHU
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
BOT
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
5 - 2
UST
62%
18%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UST
1 - 3
DOR
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 2
UST
7%
13%
80%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UST
0 - 3
SVE
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |