Volov Shumen vs Dunav Ruse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
49.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
11º
22
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 0
SHU
60%
19%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
4 - 0
UST
38%
21%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
SHU
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
0 - 1
SVE
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
SHU
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
4 - 0
BOT
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 0
DOR
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
5 - 2
UST
62%
18%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
DOR
7%
13%
81%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 2
SVE
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |