Vlašim vs Jablonec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vlašim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 0
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
UST
0 - 0
FCV
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FCV
0 - 1
FKM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 0
CHR
41%
23%
36%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
HRA
1 - 0
FCV
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
JAB
2 - 1
SLI
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ZBR
1 - 2
JAB
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
OPA
0 - 1
JAB
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
JAB
0 - 3
SLO
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
JAB
1 - 1
MBO
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |