Afragolese vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
2 - 2
AFR
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
TNF
0 - 0
AFR
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 1
HYR
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
4 - 0
AFR
60%
21%
20%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 2
SAS
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
LAT
1 - 1
SSC
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LAT
0 - 1
ULD
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FCS
4 - 3
LAT
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
LAT
0 - 0
LAN
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SAS
1 - 3
LAT
20%
24%
57%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |