Afragolese vs Lanusei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FCS
2 - 0
AFR
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AFR
2 - 0
SSC
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AFR
6 - 1
TNF
49%
22%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
GLA
0 - 0
AFR
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
PIC
6 - 2
AFR
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lanusei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LAN
0 - 0
NOC
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
LAN
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MUR
3 - 2
LAN
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
APR
1 - 1
LAN
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |