Super League Playoffs Promotion . Final
Global 5-4
FC Vaduz vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
KRI
2 - 1
FCV
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
FCV
3 - 1
SCH
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
FCV
9%
18%
73%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
FCV
2 - 1
LAU
32%
24%
45%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCV
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
ZUR
3 - 3
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
14%
20%
67%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SIO
1 - 1
THU
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
THU
5 - 1
SER
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
THU
2 - 1
STG
29%
24%
48%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |