Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 5-1
Utrecht vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 1
RJC
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
RJC
0 - 2
UTR
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 2
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
UTR
3 - 1
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
UTR
2 - 2
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
ZTE
0 - 1
TIR
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
TIR
0 - 0
ZTE
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
KFS
2 - 2
TIR
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
TIR
3 - 2
DIN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
BES
1 - 1
TIR
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |