Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 1
UTR
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 0
WIL
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1996 |
NEC
2 - 2
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
NAC
3 - 3
UTR
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
VIT
3 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 2
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
NAC
3 - 3
UTR
72%
18%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |