Utrecht vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
UTR
3 - 1
RKC
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
VVV
1 - 1
UTR
16%
21%
64%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
UTR
4 - 1
SCH
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 1
UTR
76%
15%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
UTR
1 - 0
AZA
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 0
VVV
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 0
WIL
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
0 - 1
ZWO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OSN
2 - 0
SCH
26%
21%
53%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |