Eredivisie Round 4

Utrecht vs Ajax analysis

Utrecht Ajax
72 ELO 88
7.7% Tilt 5.7%
106º General ELO ranking 104º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.3%
Utrecht
22.7%
Draw
57%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
Utrecht
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57%
Win probability
Ajax
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Utrecht
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 1998
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 4
Utrecht
UTR
43%
26%
32%
71 65 6 0
30 Aug. 1998
UTR
Utrecht
3 - 0
Cambuur
BVO
54%
23%
23%
71 71 0 0
23 Aug. 1998
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 4
Utrecht
UTR
56%
23%
21%
70 71 1 +1
10 May. 1998
AJA
Ajax
1 - 2
Utrecht
UTR
84%
11%
5%
69 88 19 +1
03 May. 1998
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
51%
24%
26%
70 66 4 -1

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 1998
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
83%
12%
6%
88 72 16 0
28 Aug. 1998
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
23%
24%
53%
88 78 10 0
23 Aug. 1998
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
81%
13%
7%
88 75 13 0
16 Aug. 1998
AJA
Ajax
0 - 2
PSV
PSV
54%
21%
25%
88 88 0 0
10 May. 1998
AJA
Ajax
1 - 2
Utrecht
UTR
84%
11%
5%
88 69 19 0