Twenty 11 vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
81.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.3%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
10º
10º
29
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSF
3 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 5
CHR
4%
9%
86%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 7
DUN
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 2
FCT
77%
13%
10%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSF
3 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 1
NSF
33%
20%
47%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 6
CHR
13%
16%
70%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
COA
2 - 3
NSF
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
2 - 1
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |