Twenty 11 vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
79.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
10º
10º
26
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 4
COA
7%
12%
81%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
0 - 2
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 1
SUF
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
GIA
2 - 0
FCT
94%
5%
2%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 6
CHR
10%
15%
75%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SUF
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
FER
52%
21%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
NSF
40%
22%
39%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |