Twenty 11 vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
FCT
4 - 2
STA
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
FCT
2 - 3
NSF
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
HAL
1 - 2
FER
14%
17%
68%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FER
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |